Within the 20 years I’ve now ranked Mariners prospects (yep, 20) I’ve by no means had extra enjoyable than I did with this group. A yr in the past, there have been over 70 prospects within the system with big-league traits. This winter, there are nonetheless practically 60, and doubtless 25 projectable main leaguers, albeit quite a lot of function gamers and relievers.
There are many lists on the market rating the prospects in each system in baseball. Not everybody does it the identical. How one ranks gamers is determined by quite a lot of components, together with how they worth roles, danger, and upside.
One massive distinction for me is the worth of a aid prospect. I worth them, however a pure reliever, except doubtlessly a legit high-leverage arm, isn’t that tough or notably dear to accumulate, so I typically would worth sure upside performs extra, and you will notice that mirrored under.
The next rankings and notes are compiled by way of video examine, reside appears to be like, and actually tons of of conversations because the begin of spring coaching a yr in the past. For gamers I haven’t seen reside, or in any respect within the case of a few of the short-season prospects, I’ll lean heavier on these conversations to seek out the right evals for instruments and the general participant in query.
Discover Finest Instruments, System Strengths & Weaknesses and my Projected 2025 Lineup & Rotation RIGHT HERE.
Listed here are my twentieth annual Mariners Prospect Rankings.
Contemplating projected abitlities and the timeline of his bat, there’s most likely only a 30-40% likelihood Ford catches, however has all of the instruments to stay if the membership desires to journey it out some time. In the event that they don’t Ford’s bat is a lot of the story right here.
He makes quite a lot of high quality contact off above-average contact charges for a 19-year-old in full-season ball, the primary of Ford’s skilled profession. He throws properly and has athleticism which suggests he may match with one other high-value place on the sector. I’m not shopping for second base at this stage, however third or one of many three outfield spots sounds affordable.
Ford’s hard-hit charges aren’t off the charts, nor are his exit velocities, however his strikeout charges are greater than acceptable up to now, he hardly ever produces weak balls in play, and makes use of portion of the sector with some punch.
It’s a possible 55 hit instrument with 55 or higher energy within the mildew of a Russell Martin, Craig Biggio, or Edgardo Alfonzo, and there’s an opportunity for a multi-time All-Star right here — and no less than an outdoor shot it comes at catcher — so Ford will get the nod at No. 1 to start out the season.
Ford is line to start out 2023 at Excessive-A Everett, the place the same stage of offensive manufacturing as 2022 in Modesto solutions some questions.
Facet-By-Facet Rankings Comparability: Doyle vs. Churchill
Miller has used his athleticism to wash up some supply questions he had on Draft Day, and alongside the best way has added efficient velocity he typically holds past 80 pitches, altering his complete profile in the correct route.
Although he nonetheless deploys a protracted arm path, Miller is extra in-sync and in-line to the plate and possesses common management of his four-seamer, recurrently touching the mid-90s and notably will hit 99-100 mph every so often. His finest secondary is a mid-80s slider flashing common or higher however needing consistency and extra tilt to generate extra swings and misses.
The appropriate-hander additionally reveals a fringe-average changeup with some deception and sink when he retains in down. The bundle initiatives as No. 4 starter, however there’s room for fairly a bit extra due to the fastball worth Miller brings to the desk. It’s a 70-grade pitch or higher getting into 2023, and even a half-tick progress with command and the slider counsel a No. 2 profile is inside attain, particularly if his cutter proves helpful sufficient to take some stress off the opposite two secondaries.
So long as he’s wholesome, Miller will assist the large membership in 2023, and it’s tough to consider it received’t be, no less than partly, within the rotation. Miller carries a excessive ground since his current stuff and command already counsel a high-leverage possibility out of the Mariners’ bullpen, which is the place he may begin the season.
Whereas one can argue Ford or Miller at No. 1, the membership’s newest massive worldwide signing was within the dialogue, too, till about midway by way of the method.
He’s but to play an expert sport, however his profile is marred solely by the inherent uncooked hit instrument teeangers carry to professional ball. The 17-year-old brings above-average bodily instruments and an opportunity to make an affect on the plate, on the bases, and within the subject.
On the upside, we could also be speaking a few multi-time All-Star shortstop with an above-average glove and an opportunity at .270 or higher and 15-20 homers. That’s a 5-win participant in a wholesome season. Celesten, nevertheless, has work to do, not solely when it comes to making constant contact, however sustaining each swings, and his conditioning if he’s going to maintain his 6-foot-2 body agile sufficient to remain at quick as he matures bodily.
The Mariners, nevertheless, rave about his engery and want to get higher, and there aren’t any indicators of something however a future main leaguer. How far up the spectrum he climbs is the one query.
Celesten will begin the yr in the summertime league. Which one stays to be seen, however the membership has a historical past of leaning closely towards the Dominican Summer time League, whatever the participant’s credentials and upside.
You heard it first on Baseball Issues when buddy of the present Jeremy Sales space advised us Arroyo had an opportunity to be a particular bat and stated there was some Edgar Martinez within the body and hit instrument.
Arroyo, who simply turned 18 in Nocember, didn’t disappoint within the DSL final summer season, torching the league to the tune of a .314/.457/.484 slash, whereas enjoying largely at his pure shortstop.
There’s some swing and miss that must be cleaned up and he tends to get out on his entrance foot a bit too usually, however he squares up pitches loudly and sometimes with a fast, compact swing, and has a sophisticated skill to remain off breaking balls out of the zone, suggesting an actual likelihood at a high-average hitter with properly above-average OBPs and no less than doubles energy.
He’s athlete with current energy and is beginning to fill out a 5-foot-11 body (extra Edgar comparisons), and dealt with quick superb in 2022, however initiatives to maneuver to the recent nook down the road. I ponder if the membership doesn’t begin the transition at second to see if that might work early in his big-league profession; there are worse athletes enjoying second base lately. However Arroyo’s skill to place the barrel on the ball is exclusive for his age and it’s a simple profile to lean on with chance an sufficient upside to disregard a few of the danger and elicit pleasure.
I’d be shocked if Arroyo isn’t thought-about for Modesto to start out the season, and no less than sees the Cal League someday over the course of the summer season schedule, very like Gabriel Gonzalez final summer season.
Younger received busy proper after being the Mariners’ first-round choose final summer season by hitting his approach into a few weeks of motion Class-A Modesto the place, guess what, he saved on hitting. It was a small pattern, however spectacular nonetheless.
His left-handed swing is easy and quick to the ball, and his pure skill to establish strikes bodes properly for the longer term. How a lot energy he faucets into relies upon largely on how a lot energy he can add to a modest 6-foot body, however he makes use of the entire subject and has dealt with velocity above his ranges up to now.
However let’s speak a little bit extra concerning the swing. It’s friggin’ attractive.
Younger isn’t an awesome athlete, however he strikes simply within the subject and has the chops to stay at shortstop due to footwork and instincts. He additionally appears to be like like a 55/60-grade second baseman to me. It’s a median arm or I’d be a bit extra bullish about quick.
Younger will probably begin the season in Modesto with an opportunity at Everett across the time he turns 20 years of age. That’s what polish can do for you.
When you argued Younger belongs forward of Arroyo, I wouldn’t struggle you, however I see extra offensive upside in Arroyo… for now.
Eradicating all prior context, in 2022 Hancock seemed like a future back-end starter within the mildew of Phil Hughes or Tanner Roark. That’s not what the Mariners thought they had been getting after they took the Georgia righty No. 6 general in 2020.
Hancock sits 92-95 and touches 97 together with his fastball, throwing strikes at an above-average fee and pitching with common command. The slider is a 40-45 pitch however flashes, and his changeup appears to be like like one of the best likelihood at a plus secondary.
He has a curveball he’s basically ditched at this level.
Regardless of the speed, Hancock doesn’t miss many bats together with his two-seamer, although there’s some floor ball skill right here. The membership helped him introduce a four-seamer, however it didn’t take early in his first full season final summer season, so the jury is out on its future.
Hancock is athletic and repeats his supply properly. In each approach however one — stuff — he appears to be like like a frontline arm. Having stated that, he’s battled by way of quite a bit since winter 2020 together with his faculty season getting reduce quick, not having a minor league season after which having his 2021 marketing campaign reduce kind by harm (shoulder).
He handled a lat problem in 2022 and didn’t get going till mid-Might. Hancock enters 2023 with simply 143 skilled innings below hit belt, and simply 167 because the finish of his sophomore season at Georgia.
We’ve seen higher breaking stuff from Hancock than he’s displayed as a professional and the hope is we see it once more in 2023. If he can get extra worth out of the fastball, it’ll take some stress off the slider, however in any other case it’s quite a bit to ask of an in-zone two-seamer and a pair of common secondaries, suppressing his ceiling and function, or maybe stalling his ETA even additional.
The ball explodes out of Woo’s hand; his fastball has good hop and ASR and his slider breaks late to his glove facet with a little bit of depth when at its finest. He’ll want extra consistency with the breaking ball to start out long-term, however every little thing else the right-hander does suggests the membership ought to proceed to present him an opportunity to show he’s a rotation candidate.
It’s underrated athleticism that’s in sync and easy from break to launch, creating arm velocity and deception with a 3/4 slot, which all bods properly for the event of the slider. Woo’s changeup is his finest secondary, arrange properly by mid-90s warmth (as much as 99), inducing floor balls, and loads of swing-and-miss when he finishes properly out entrance.
There’s mid-rotation upside right here and he’s barely getting began in professional ball after having UCL surgical procedure in April 2021 and never making his professional debut till final June. He’s thrown simply 137 innings since highschool, and that features his time within the Arizona Fall League after final season.
With a ground of a high-leverage arm, maybe of the multi-inning selection, Woo carries a promising probability-upside combo into the season, regardless of the delayed begin to his profession and light-weight workload the previous 5 years.
I anticipate Woo to enter camp with an opportunity to start out the yr in Double-A Arkansas the place his stuff can be examined by higher bats, prepping him for some big-league time.
I’m probably high-man on Sanchez as a result of I lean towards upide and the uncommon, extra difficult-to-find expertise, but when he has 3 times as many plate appearances with the identical outcomes, he’d be beginning 2023 in Excessive-A Everett as my No. 4 prospect.
The bodily instruments stand out from above-average bat velocity to a 60-grade arm and above-average velocity and vary within the subject. He’s a legit shortstop and good, aggressive baserunner, enjoying with uncommon power and a few swagger, reminding a little bit of Javier Baez.
Sadly, the robust efficiency has are available in a small pattern up to now, and like Baez there’s been an excessive amount of swing and miss to this point. However Sanchez simply turned 20 in December and except a 34-PA spell in Everett has performed injury at each cease.
The eight homers he smacked in Modesto isn’t precisely a harbinger, however his swing does produce leverage and loft, and he carries a profession double-digit stroll fee into 2023.
There’s quite a bit to love right here, however it comes with questions solely time can reply. It occurs to be the sort of guess I desire over comfortable ceilings and chance.
Gonzalez brings one potential plus instrument to the ballpark day by day and it occurs to be the one which carries gamers the furthest, and offers probably the most confidence in a hitter’s growth.
As an 18-year-old, the right-handed batting Gonzalez raked within the advanced league and compelled the hand of the Mariners to get him time within the Cal League. He responded by hitting .286 with a .400 OBP in 32 video games.
There’s not quite a lot of energy to venture right here, although effectivity, swing maturity and excessive contact charges may get him into the 12-15 vary down the road, although he’s a little bit greater and stronger than I anticipated, and he has mid-grade or higher bat velocity that may produce extra fly balls.
Gonzalez shouldn’t be an awesome athlete, providing solely corner-outfield potential with a 55 arm and fringe-average projected velocity, however solid-average vary due to good instincts and routes, and a Jerry Rice-like skill to keep away from wasted motion within the subject.
Gonzalez has a shot to be a right-handed model of Andrew Benintendu on the excessive facet, and he may attain the majors in a supporting function by late 2025.
Ford is a high-upside right-hander with arm velocity and athleticism, and will have the makings of a plus slider. He’s touched the upper-90s together with his four-seamer and pitches comfortably 91-94 in highschool.
The slider has some sweep to it and initiatives properly as he provides velocity and finds a constant arm path. Like most prep arms, the “Vanilla Missile” has a changeup requiring quite a lot of work, however he’s proven the power to throw it from the identical slot and with good arm velocity.
At 6-foot-3 and 195 kilos at signing, Ford has an opportunity at a plus–plus fastball that misses bats and an above-average or higher slider.
Discovering constant mechanics and throwing strikes is the early work to verify off the checklist.
Ford ought to see time within the advanced league this summer season, and as soon as he will get rolling there’s no telling how far the uncooked stuff may take him in 2023.
Montes is the quintessential boom-or-bust sort of prospect at this stage of his profession.
It’s 70-grade future energy if the 6-foot-3, 215-pound outfield can shorten up his left-handed swing, however the reality he whiffed in a 3rd of his plate appearances within the DSL final summer season reinforces the preliminary scouting report and proves he has a methods to go.
However Montes is an underrated athlete that initiatives as a median proper fielder for now, and needs to be don’t have any downside dealing with first base from an agility standpoint ought to he want to maneuver. If he hits, the facility will play anyplace on the sector.
The swing is a bit lengthy and he’ll cheat and chase, however he’s simply 18, understands the zone, and hit some offspeed stuff exhausting in his rookie season, so the profile lives, although a ton of danger stays.
Berroa could have one of the best uncooked stuff within the system, beginning with a 70-grade or higher fastball serving as a bowling ball down within the zone and a … properly, a bowling ball up. There’s straightforward armside run at 94-97 mph mph, and he’s touched 99-100 mph a couple of instances. The pitch induces floor balls and whiffs.
Regardless of a brief, cutter-like form, his slider additionally generates quite a lot of swing-and-miss, and he’s flashed a changeup with some promise, however Berroa has points discovering a constant launch level, so regardless of the motion on his repertoire he presently lacks the effectivity to start out (16.8% BB fee).
He’ll usually miss arm facet together with his fastball, the slider backs up on him fairly a bit too, and he tends to overcorrect and miss within the reverse method quickly after.
Berroa is athletic sufficient and has the fastball basis, so there’s hope he can discover the zone persistently sufficient to work out of the bullpen sooner or later, however getting into 2023 he’s but to indicate such skill and has one thing to show rightout of the gate this spring.
Even fringe management will get Berroa into the Mariners bullpen by June the place he can deal with two pitches and strikes, which suggests maybe the membership makes the function change to start out the season to shorten his path to the majors.
Not dangerous, although, contemplating Seattle acquired Berroa this previous summer season in alternate for infielder Donovan Walton, who has since been DFA’d by the Giants.
The Mariners are curiously bullish on Locklear, deciding on him No. 58 general out of a mid-major, regardless of legit issues he may stick at third base and hit big-time pitching.
He’s all the time carried out properly, nevertheless, and that didn’t change in his first stint in professional ball. He raced to Modesto and seemed the half in 29 video games, posting .282/.353/.504 slash with a 41.5% hard-hit fee.
This can be a massive season for Locklear, although, as he’s 22 and must get to Excessive-A Everett and rake his option to Arkansas with a view to arrange a strong timeline to the majors.
Clase, a change hitter, has velocity to spare and finds the gaps sufficient within the minors — due to added energy — to counsel he can do the identical as he strikes into the higher minors.
He’s a greater hitter from the left facet and might want to make extra contact (26.7% Ok fee general) and string collectively higher PAs, particularly vs left-handed pitching.
His velocity is a giant asset on the bases and as an everyday initiatives to swipe 30-40 baggage a yr, however defensively he lacks supreme routes and instinctsand might want to progress to profile there recurrently.
Anticipate Clase to start out 2023 in Excessive-A Everett.
Dollard is basically the other of Berroa. He’ll throw strikes with 4 pitches, led by a low-90s fastball often touching 94 mph, a median slider and 40-grade changeup that flashes common. He additionally has a curveball he doesn’t throw a lot.
Dollard doesn’t get quite a lot of inherent fastball worth, however he instructions it properly sufficient to assault each inch of the zone and work off it with the breaking ball.
His slider lacks consistency, however at its finest it has tilt and sufficient horizontal break to induce some whiffs and weak contact.
Dollard goes to want his changeup versus left-handed batters within the majors, however hasn’t within the minors due to fastball command and his skill to backfoot the slider.
His upside is proscribed with out extra from the four-seamer, however he’s most likely a major-league No. 5 or a protracted reliever as early as 2023, and he has the body to deal with extra effort within the supply if it helps achieve a tick in velocity.
Izzi, one other projectable prep arm with an opportunity at a plus-plus fastball, already sits 91-94 mph in a beginning function and has flashed into the 96-98 mph vary in shorter outings. His slider will get comfortable at instances however flashed fringe-average in highschool and initiatives properly as he learns to repeat his arm slot.
If he’s to start out long-term, his promising changeup enters professional ball in a good spot, however is no less than a couple of years from common.
Arms like this include comparatively excessive flooring due to the projectable fastball worth, however there’s potential for lots greater than that right here. It’s simply more likely to take a while to develop secondaries, tweek the supply and construct up the physique.
Izzi probably sees time within the advanced league this summer season after spending final summer season including energy. If he stays a starter, he’s no less than 4 years away, however that will get reduce a yr or so if he strikes to the bullpen alongside the best way.
The southpaw has constructed up his physique and now it’s a matter of throwing strikes.
Pinto sits 89-92 mph and has touched 95, establishing a possible plus curveball with massive bend and depth, thrown from a misleading 3/4 slot behind a closed entrance facet.
His mechanics are nonetheless a work-in-progress, however the athleticism and arm expertise supply the muse of a long-term big-league arm.
He needs to be stateside this winter and spring, setting him up for some ACL motion in 2023, and an opportunity for the Mariners participant growth group to work their magic.
Morales was the membership’s third-round choose in 2021, a spherical after Edwin Arroyo, and from Day 1 it seemed like a protracted play.
After his first full season, Morales, now 20, has proven good really feel and management, however lacks in stuff, which shouldn’t be all that stunning at this stage.
There’s a future common curveball and slider however neither have been main weapons to this point. Regardless of sitting 89-91 and touching 92 most outings, Morales will get some swing and miss on the four-seamer.
His changeup is a greater weapon now than both breaker, however he’s proven contact and command, suggesting it’s a future worth for him.
Morales spent all yr in Modesto, making 26 begins and protecting 120.1 innings, however I’m undecided it’s a slam dunk he strikes to Everett to start out 2023.
Extra velocity and basic fastball worth is essential to his future function, and his body (6-2, 205) doesn’t supply quite a lot of bodily projection, so I’m undecided we’re speaking a few future big-league starter but, and Morales doesn’t strike me because the sort of arm that ticks up in shorter stints. Due to this fact, I feel Seattle will take their time with the right-hander and hope the speed ticks up and he arrives a four-pitch innings eater within the Mike Leake mildew.
Clarke begins with a simple 3/4 supply, a little bit of armside run and common sink on fastball at 91-94 mph, often 95-96. It’s a fringe-average slider he can throw for strikes and projectable changeup with good arm velocity.
Clarke is aorund the zone quite a bit and has above-average command of his finest two choices. His curveball has likelihood to be one of the best pitch, finally, nevertheless. It was inconsistent in 2022, however is usually a hammer and a plus providing with extra consistency, however it’s largely been below-average.
Clarke has began virtually solely in professional ball after serving as a better at USC previous to being the Cubs’ fourth-round choose in 2019. He ould do a greater job throwing downhill if he desires to chase the groundball consequence together with his fastball. If membership desires to hurry up his supply and transfer him to the bullpen, extra velocity is probably going within the offing, however getting him to remain closed longer could also be key to each greater velo and well being.
He’s a Rule 5 choose, so he’s both within the majors or the Mariners should supply him again to the Cubs. I don’t him him successful a spot within the rotation, however maybe the Mariners see him as an early-season lengthy reliever to help in protecting some innings within the colder months earlier than being compelled to make the last word determination on him.
And sure, there are many similarities between Clarke and Chris Flexen stuff smart, regardless of the differing deliveries and arm slots.
Then is a big-league arm by now if not for the accidents which have held him again. It’s a simple 96 mph with some life to his arm facet, and his slider has flashed plus.
As soon as a wiry athlete, Then has maintained the athleticism however has placed on some good weight, which ought to serve him properly over the lengthy haul.
He battled elbow issues final season, however seemed fairly good in a dozen appearances, 10 at Double-A Arkansas the place he posted a 14-3 Ok/BB ratio, and sat 94-98 mph from his typical 3/4 slot, flashing the plus breaker, however battling some release-point inconsistency, most likely due to some timing points which are obvious in his supply.
The fastball will miss bats, partially due to good life, partially because of some deception he creates together with his arm path behind his entrance facet.
The slider is a bit quick on break, however he instructions it fairly properly and might use versus righties and lefties alike.
Anticipate Then, if wholesome, to be one of many first handful of pure relievers the membership calls upon, probably from a return to Double-A to start out the season.
Marlowe is an effective athlete with no less than 55 uncooked velocity, good baserunning and defensive instincts, and a few instruments on the plate that might play on the big-league stage.
He’s maxed out bodily now at 25, nevertheless, and he’s had issues with contact — a 25.7% strikeout fee in Arkansas, then 23 whiffs in 60 PAs in Triple-A Tacoma — so there’s quite a lot of work to do, and time isn’t on his facet.
He’s managed OK versus lefties, however has made his mark largely because of his manufacturing versus right-handed pitching, which is his finest likelihood to assist the Mariners in 2023: Off the bench, versus right-handed arms.
Marlowe’s energy is a bit sneaky — he hit 25 homers in 2021 and 21 extra a yr in the past, and he finds the gaps recurrently and runs to sunlight. Regardless of the excessive whiff charges, he’s all the time hit for common, which is why he’s within the dialog for the majors getting into 2023.
I believe Marlowe heads again to Tacoma for the beginning of the 2023 season, serving as one of many prime reinforcements ought to accidents or efficiency points happen, particularly with Jarred Kelenic and Taylor Trammell.
Two years in the past I stated on a number of platforms Perez wanted to get to Everett and hit earlier than I’d purchase him as a legit prospect. Since then, he raked at Modesto in 2021, struggled in a small pattern in Everett, returned there for 35 video games in 2023 and hit there, too, so right here we’re.
He’s a primary base-only man, so there’s a metric eff-ton of stress on the bat, and I’m not satisfied it’s greater than 20-homer energy (regardless of 60-grade uncooked), however there’s extra trending in the correct route with the hit instrument right here than Perez has been given credit score for to this point.
He probably begins again in Excessive-A Everett, however has an opportunity to achieve Arkansas at age 23, and if he performs there with energy it’s a little bit of a gamechanger.
I’ll consider it after I see it, however there’s no doubting the pop and the progress Perez has made the previous two seasons.
I like Perez as a Tyler Moore sort on the upside.
Campbell’s accidents are most likely the one factor which have saved him from the Mariners’ bullpen.
He’s 92-95 mph and as much as 98 mph with efficient life, together with some armside run and sink that may be devastating to right-handed batters who simply dont choose up the ball wel out of Campbell’s arms, regardless of a comparatively excessive launch level.
He has two breaking balls, however the slider is the one with future worth and it flashes above-average, and he can throw it for strikes away to right-handed batters.
He entered professional ball with a curveball and exhausting changeup, too, however neither get used a lot.
Campbell had cleanup surgical procedure on his elbow final yr and if he staves off the IL this season is one other right-hander on the quick checklist for time within the majors.
Anticipate him to start out the season in Arkansas.
Munoz, a 20-year-old right-hander who has spent the previous two years within the DSL, has stuff past the extent of competitors, and it began to indicate final summer season as he threw extra strikes.
He’s as much as 96 mph and persistently 90-93 with above-average hop and occasional armside run, and he additionally deploys a short-cutting, complementary slider that can want extra depth within the states.
Talking of the states, Munoz is prepared for that problem this summer season.
He’s 6-foot-2 and just below 190 kilos now, and the arm is free and reside. He’s most likely only a aid prospect, however there are some legit big-league traits on his fastball-slider combo, suggesting in such a task he may transfer shortly by way of the decrease minors and into the plans in a rush.
DeLoach, the membership’s second-round choose in 2020, introduced polish to professional ball, however it’s but to blow up into projectable big-league abilities.
He controls the zone properly and makes use of the entire subject, however doesn’t discover the barrel a lot and typically hasn’t discovered sufficient high quality contact (26.1% hard-hit).
DeLoach is an above-average nook outfielder with a median arm and an opportunity to hit for common and get on base, however the energy hasn’t proven up and the hit instrument hasn’t produced as anticipated.
One scout opined “he’s not aggressive sufficient” and I’d add his alternatives to get to his pull facet are too-often missed as a result of he’s often unnecessarily selective, and has a little bit bother attending to good velocity.
He’s 24 now and beginning to run out of time, however I can’t see Seattle pushing him to Tacoma after a .258/.369/.409 season in Arkansas, so I anticipate him again there for a 3rd time searching for a option to get the bat head out entrance with out sacrificing protection and speak to.
Windish a greater athlete than anybody will ever give him credit score for and he’s serviecable at second base regardless of a 6-foot-1, 225-pound body that sometimes belongs elsewhere.
He has loads of arm for a nook, and initiatives to hit for some common, however the swing doesn’t produce backspin but, therefore the shortage of energy.
I’m curious to see what changes Windish could make, as a result of he squares it up usually sufficient to hit 20 homers. He’s more likely to begin again in Modesto and get to Everett over the summer season, except the Mariners need to problem Windish because of his age and expertise and see how he responds.
Mercedes belongs in aid the place his fastball performs up some, permitting him to get to certainly one of his two common secondaries.
His slider initiatives to common, and in shorter stints could take a bounce from the fringe-average ranges, which may make him a viable center reliever, a task through which may get him to the majors inside a yr and a half.
One of many membership’s prime worldwide signings in January, Martinez enters professional ball with a big-league physique and superior really feel for pitching.
The knock is the projection on his sinking fastball, however there’s current velocity, athleticism and really feel for secondaries, making the right-hander a projectable arm with loads of time to develop.
Gough, pronounced ‘Guff’, is a right-hander with good arm velocity, the prospect at 4 high quality pitches — together with a fastball that might get into the mid-90s extra recurrently as a professional and touched 97 in highschool — however lacks bodily projection and comes with some arm motion issues.
I like his possibilities to maneuver shortly as soon as he’s in full-season ball, and I feel he begins till no less than Double-A, however this can be a full-arsenal reliever within the Jeremy Hellickson or Luke Weaver mildew.
It’s all bat for Rodriguez, and he didn’t hit a lot in 2022. On the stem, he gives bat velocity, above-average uncooked energy and confirmed in 2021 a capability to seek out the barrel.
In opposition to higher pitching in two stops in Everett he’s struggled to remain within the zone and attending to his pull facet. He’s simply 22, however we’re more likely to know fairly shortly in 2023 whether or not or not Rodriguez is a legit piece or not, if we don’t already.
Wilson doesn’t carry the physicality Martinez does, however the athleticism and arm motion produce tons of fastball life and deception, and subsequently a similarly-valued ground with sufficient upside to counsel a rotation function.
Jimenez will get misplaced within the DSL shuffle, however at 19 confirmed endurance and a few lefty pop to go together with good athleticism and an opportunity to remain in middle.
Lora has made simply eight appearances (all within the DSL final summer season), however has flashed a fluid supply and free arm into the upper-80s simply, touching 91 mph with a creating slider and changeup.
The physique is projectable at 6-foot-2 and 170 kilos.
Kuhn is 95-99mph with the four-seamer, establishing a brief slider he will get in on lefties and makes use of as a down-and-away pitch versus right-handed bats.
The heater lacks journey and he struggles with basic management, however the arm energy is massive and he’s a tweak away from seeing the majors.
Perez, now 21, has but to supply regardless of bodily instruments and tremendously-advanced zone judgment that has led to massive stroll charges.
The change hitter is stronger from the left facet, however has had issues making sufficient contact, producing loft, and discovering the barrel. He posted a paltry 18.5% hard-hit fee a yr in the past.
Defensively he’s a query mark at third, but when the bat doesn’t play the glove speak is moot. He survives the rankings due to the projectable plate abilities and likelihood for common or higher energy.
Talavera is all projection, however at 17 and 18 he flashed within the DSL, and it’s tough to not just like the reside, free arm and athleticism. He’s scraping the upper-80s largely, however he’s touched 92 mph and confirmed an improved breaker in 2022, together with higher command and basic management.
Hood is an effective athlete with above-average uncooked energy and an opportunity to remain on the grime, probably at third base.
He may match properly in a nook outfield spot, too, giving him the sort of positional flexibility which lands him tinhe present, however there’s most likely an excessive amount of swing-and-miss for an on a regular basis participant.
Hood probably sees Modesto in 2022 with an opportunity to get to Everett by season’s finish — if he hits.
Aguilar, now 19, confirmed some bat-to-ball abilities within the ACL final summer season, however no energy (.337 SLG, 7 XBH in 185 PA),and an excessive amount of swing-and-miss.
He’s a below-average athlete general, however does transfer his ft properly sufficient to play third base for now, however could have to maneuver throughout the diamond sooner or later, which implies the bat is his calling card with a protracted option to go.
One of many extra underrated bats within the California League from a yr in the past, Cabrera posted a 46.8% hard-hit fee in 422 PAs on the age of 21. He additionally drew some walks (9.5%) and his Ok fee was affordable, although there’s work to do there and when it comes to turning the standard of contact into extra injury.
The 18-year-old debuted within the DSL final summer season and struggled to make contact (40% Ok), however did draw a bunch of walks and stays a strong athlete with an opportunity to performs second base. His swing is producing quite a lot of floor balls, most likely too many fly balls, and never enoughline drives, however till he lends a greater learn by placing the ball in play extra it’s powerful to counsel something however energy and swing maturity right here because the culprits.
Kolek gives every little thing golf equipment need in a pitcher from a bodily standpoint at 6-foot-2, 215 kilos and properly above-average arm energy. He’s as much as 98 mph together with his fastball and recurrently 93-95, and gives a slider and changeup.
The fastball isn’t a giant swing-and-miss pitch, however it does carry some to his arm facet and will play up in shorter stints. Kolek’s slider lacks constant sweep, however he can throw each pitches to both facet of the plate, and the breaking ball will flash above-average.
The appropriate-hander, 26 in April, is a little bit of an under-the-radar arm when speaking about minor leaguers that might assist the mother or father membership out of the bullpen this season. Seattle may deploy Kolek within the function, regardless of beginning all 27 appearances in 2022.
Tatiz, 22, has the projectable bodily presence at 6-foot-3 and 180 kilos, supporting a 91-93 mph fastball that’s topped out round 96. His finest secondary is a fringe-averageslider and teasing higher, however his changeup hasn’t developed and he’s bringing fringe management to the mound, suggesting he’s a aid arm transferring ahead.
Polcovich, 24 to start out the 2023 season, has instruments past his dimension, together with common energy, a plus arm and above-average velocity. He’s performed 4 positions as a professional, together with shortstop and middle, and has seemed playable in all of them. He profiles finest at second, however has the arm and athleticism to play the outfield or fill in at third base.
Polcovich could need to think about giving up change hitting, nevertheless. He batted .196/.287/.301 as a righty final season in Arkansas, after a .206/.322/.288 slash in 2021. He makes sufficient contact as a lefty (20.6% Ok) to counsel a utility function within the subsequent few years, due to versatility, walks and an opportunity to hit .250 or higher.
Meza is certainly one of this yr’s signees, however hold his identify in thoughts. He possesses above-average arm energy and is already hitting 92-93 in just about each session, quick or lengthy, and has scraped 95 “right here and there” at simply 16 years of age. It’s a high-effort supply with a little bit of violence, however the arm velocity is consitent and breaking ball promising for the lengthy haul.
Packard isn’t going to be an on a regular basis participant within the majors, however there’s a task for guys in thire mid-late 20s that make contact, hit for some common, and supply no less than hole energy. That’s Packard, who would rank a number of spots spots larger if he additionally provided defensive worth and/or was a couple of years youthful.
That is most likely his final yr within the High 50 with out a fairly large bounce in manufacturing in 2024, however he may even see Double-A. He’ll want to seek out the barrel extra (21% hard-hit, 25.4% soft-hit) to get there, nevertheless.
Curvelo took a step again in 2022, however the stuff was superb. The appropriate-hander struggled throwing strikes, and extra particularly, finding his mid-90s four-seam fastball.
He can backdoor the slider or bury it versus lefties, however the pitch lacks constant sweep/tilt to venture it a lot past common.
It’s a reliever-only high-effort supply, however the 22-year-old gives some deception so as to add fastball worth, so if he can discover a option to pound the zone extra he has a shot at a middle-relief function.
Cruz is an athletic outfielder with an opportunity to remain in middle and hit for common, and he confirmed progress in ’22 with some added energy and extra barrels, hitting 4 homers in 36 video games after only one lengthy ball in 2021.
He’s 18 and will see the advanced league this summer season, an indication the membership likes the pattern, however he’ll have to proceed so as to add energy to hold projection.
Carlson may simply be left off this High 50, however I noticed him twice final summer season and he appeared to have discovered some issues together with his supply.
He sat 89-93 mph with some run in on right-handers with a two-seamer, and a low-80s breaker sweeping the opposite route. He did hit 94-95 twice, suggesting the arm energy could also be exhibiting indicators of returning, no less than to an extent, and the texture on his changeup suggests a legit weapon.
Working towards Carlson, he’s now 24 — spent all of 2022 at age 23 — and nonetheless doesn’t throw sufficient strikes, and the stuff stays underwhelming.
His finest likelihood could also be as a back-end starter with floor ball skills, or if he shortens up and finds extra fastball worth. The place Carlson begins 2023 could also be attention-grabbing to some, however I’d run him again out for Modesto till it seems he’s outfitted to undergo a Northwest League lineup twice.
On the finish of the day, it’s most likely time to go the aid route and let him use his bodily instruments to max out and slim the main focus in his repertoire after he’s spent the higher a part of his professional profession making an attempt to regain arm energy and velocity after early UCL surgical procedure.
Levins is a really intriguing C/1B combo with a left-handed bat highlighted by sneaky energy, excessive contact and plus zone judgment.
He could solely carry backup-catcher upside defensively, however he’s athletic and powerful, produced in faculty convention, and will slide by way of to Everett as early as this summer season. When you doubt Levins’ credentials, go discover a spotlight video. You’ll like what you see.
He’s simply 5-foot-9 and 165 kilos, however Rodriguez packs some punch and gives common second-base protection and a 55 arm.
He swings and misses an excessive amount of (27%) however spent 2022 within the advanced league at 19 after a giant yr within the DSL the earlier summer season.
It’s actually a bench profile but when he can be taught to make extra contact with out giving up the hole energy, Rodriguez is a enjoyable participant to observe for within the decrease minors.
Jason A. Churchill
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